Journal of Marine Sciences ›› 2024, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (4): 12-20.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-909X.2024.04.002

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The spatial and temporal differences of upper ocean in tropical Pacific during the “triple-dip” La Niña of 2020-2023

CHEN Cong1,2(), XU Chuyue1,2, QIN Jianhuang1,2,3,*(), KANG Yanyan1,2, WANG Guifen1,2   

  1. 1. Key Laboratory of Marine Hazards Forecasting, MNR, Nanjing 210024, China
    2. College of Oceanography, Hohai University, Nanjing 210024, China
    3. Nantong Ocean and Coastal Engineering Research Institute, Hohai University, Nantong 226000, China
  • Received:2024-07-09 Revised:2024-09-25 Online:2024-12-15 Published:2025-02-08
  • Contact: QIN Jianhuang

Abstract:

The occurrence of a “triple-dip” La Ni?a event is historically rare, yet it has exerted profound impacts on global weather and climate systems. To enhance the understanding of the causes of multiple La Ni?a events and improve the prediction capabilities for weather and climate, a comparative analysis of the ocean-atmosphere processes in the tropical Pacific during the 2020-2023 “triple-dip” La Ni?a period was conducted based on multiple sets of observational and reanalysis data, employing composite analysis and other methods. Results showed that: The peak of the 2020 La Ni?a event occurred in winter and lasted the longest among this “triple-dip” La Ni?a events; the peak of the 2021 La Ni?a event also occurred in winter, with the cold anomaly centered near the eastern Pacific, classified as an “Eastern Pacific” type; the peak of the 2022 La Ni?a event occurred in autumn, relatively weaker in intensity and the shortest in duration, with the cold anomaly centered in the central Pacific, classified as a “Central Pacific” type. Further research revealed a coupling relationship between zonal wind and sea surface temperature (SST) variations. However, during this “triple-dip” La Ni?a period, the intensity and location of the eastward wind anomalies showed little variation across different La Ni?a events. In contrast, subsurface SST changes align with changes in SST anomaly centers, it may be a crucial factor influencing the intensity and type differences among this “triple-dip” La Ni?a events. Although eastward-propagating Kelvin waves had a certain impact on the ocean system, but their propagation speeds and intensities exhibited minimal variations during this “triple-dip” La Ni?a events. Additionally, the study found that variations in the growth rate of warm water volume contributed to the differences in La Ni?a intensities, while the meridional convergence and divergence of warm water led to the seasonal phase-locking phenomenon of La Ni?a events.

Key words: sea surface temperature anomaly, subsurface sea temperature, warm water volume, El Ni?o-Southern Oscillation, climate change, air-sea interaction, multiyear La Ni?a, climate prediction

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