Evaluation of ecological restoration effect in the surrounding sea area of artificial island based on Bayesian network

HOU Zonghao, ZHANG Yifei, FANG Xin, DUAN Yixin

Journal of Marine Sciences ›› 2025, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (1) : 57-68.

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Journal of Marine Sciences ›› 2025, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (1) : 57-68. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-909X.2025.01.006

Evaluation of ecological restoration effect in the surrounding sea area of artificial island based on Bayesian network

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Abstract

The construction of artificial island will inevitably cause damage to the marine ecological environment while satisfying the land demand. Therefore, evaluating the effects of marine ecological restoration around artificial islands is a key and challenging aspect of island and coastal ecological restoration work. Based on pressure-state-response (PSR) model, the evaluation index system of ecological restoration effect in the sea area around artificial islands was constructed, and the best-worst method (BWM) was used to assign weights to the evaluation indexes, and combined with Bayesian network (BN) to evaluate the ecological restoration effect of the sea area around Riyue Island in Hainan. The results indicated that from 2016 to 2019, under the restoration strategy “natural recovery as the main and artificial restoration as the auxiliary”, the marine ecological environment around Riyue Island had shown some restoration effectiveness. The expected values of the ecological environment quality in the tourism and leisure area, agriculture and fisheries area, and reserve area increased by 32.6%, 31.7%, and 22.7% respectively. Although water environmental pressure and sediment environmental pressure significantly decreased, there was no improvement in the biological conditions. The results of sensitivity analysis showed that the ecological environment quality of the three marine functional zones was less sensitive to sediment indicators, while it was most sensitive to the density of benthic organisms. Therefore, future restoration measures should focus on improving biological ecological indicators. This study provides valuable insights for the evaluation of marine ecological restoration effects.

Key words

artificial island / Bayesian network / ecological restoration / evaluation of effectiveness / best-worst method / pressure-state-response model / marine functional zone

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HOU Zonghao , ZHANG Yifei , FANG Xin , et al. Evaluation of ecological restoration effect in the surrounding sea area of artificial island based on Bayesian network[J]. Journal of Marine Sciences. 2025, 43(1): 57-68 https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1001-909X.2025.01.006

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