Journal of Marine Sciences >

2018 , Vol. 36 >Issue 4: 8 - 16

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1001-909X.2018.04.002

Linking high-summer Arctic marginal sea-ice to the following wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation

  • HU Chun-di ,
  • ZHANG Cheng-yang ,
  • CHEN Da-ke ,
  • YANG Qing-hua
Expand
  • 1. State Key Laboratory of Satellite Ocean Environment Dynamics, Hangzhou 310012, China;
    2. Guangdong Province Key Laboratory for Climate Change and Natural Disaster Studies & School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai 519000, China;
    3. Second Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources, Hangzhou 310012, China;
    4. Climate Center, Guangxi Meteorological Bureau, Nanning 530022, China;
    5. University Corporation for Polar Research, Beijing 100875, China;
    6. Southern Laboratory of Ocean Science and Engineering (Guangdong), Zhuhai 519000, China

Received date: 2018-08-15

  Revised date: 2018-09-13

  Online published: 2022-11-18

Fold

Abstract

Many studies pointed out that the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is a physically meaningful mode but the Arctic Oscillation (AO) likes a statistical artifact mode from EOF analysis. To further explore their difference from a new perspective, here we applied a conditional maximum covariance analysis (CMCA) to capture the cross-seasonal teleconnection between preceding Arctic marginal sea ice concentration (MSIC) and the following wintertime NAO, from which the ENSO signals and the linear trends were removed. Statistically significant results showed that the dominant Ocean-Atmosphere interaction was the atmospheric effect on the MSIC anomalies, with a peak occurring when atmosphere leading MSCI by 0-1 month. However, the most eye-catching phenomenon was that the wintertime negative NAO could be significantly linked to the gradual evolution of preceding Arctic MSIC anomalies from high-summer to early-winter, with lead-times up to 6 months. However, according to previous studies, Arctic sea ice anomalies could only show significant precursory signals for winter AO about 4 months, suggesting that Arctic MSIC has a stronger impact on the following winter NAO than AO. And it also confirmed that there was a difference between AO and NAO from a new perspective. Further analysis showed that the gradual evolution of changes in Arctic MSIC was mainly driven by sea surface heat fluxes and surface temperature anomalies. Besides, we also re-investigated the effect of negative NAO on the boreal winter climate anomalies and the corresponding possible physical mechanisms.

Key words： Ocean-Atmosphere interaction; Arctic marginal sea ice; North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO); cross-seasonal teleconnection

Cite this article

HU Chun-di , ZHANG Cheng-yang , CHEN Da-ke , YANG Qing-hua . Linking high-summer Arctic marginal sea-ice to the following wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation[J]. Journal of Marine Sciences, 2018 , 36(4) : 8 -16 . DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-909X.2018.04.002

References

[1] THOMPSON D W J, WALLACE J M. The Arctic Oscillation signature in the wintertime geopotential height and temperature fields[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 1998, 25(9):1 297-1 300.
[2] DOMMENGET D, LATIF M. A cautionary note on the interpretation of EOFs[J]. Journal of Climate, 2002, 15:216-225.
[3] WALLACE J M, GUTZLER D S. Teleconnections in geopotential height field during the Northern Hemisphere winter[J]. Monthly Weather Review, 1981, 109:784-812.
[4] CZAJA A, FRANKIGNOUL C. Influence of the North Atlantic SST anomalies on the atmospheric circulation[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 1999, 26:2 969-2 972.
[5] CZAJA A, FRANKIGNOUL C. Observed impact of Atlantic SST on the North Atlantic Oscillation[J]. Journal of Climate, 2002, 15:606-623.
[6] MARSHALL J, KUSHNIR Y, BATTISTI D, et al. North Atlantic climate variability: Phenomena impacts and mechanisms[J]. International Journal of Climatology, 2001, 21:1 863-1 898.
[7] FRANCIS J, CHEN W, LEATHERS D, et al. Winter Northern Hemisphere weather patterns remember summer Arctic sea ice extent[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2009, 36:L07503.
[8] HONDA M, INOUS J, YAMANE S. Influence of low Arctic sea-ice minima on anomalously cold Eurasian winters[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2009, 36:L08707.
[9] OVERLAND J E, WANG Mu-yin. Large-scale atmospheric circulation changes are associated with the recent loss of Arctic sea ice[J]. Tellus, 2010, 62(1):1-9.
[10] PETOUKHOV V, SEMENOV V A. A link between reduced Barents-Kara sea ice and cold winter extremes over Northern continents[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research, 2010, 115:D21.
[11] STRONG C, MAGNUSDOTTIR G, STERN H. Observed feedback between winter sea ice and the North Atlantic Oscillation[J]. Journal of Climate, 2010, 22:6 021-6 032.
[12] WU Qi-gang, ZHANG Xiang-dong. Observed forcing-feedback processes between Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation and Arctic sea ice coverage[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research, 2010, 115:D14199.
[13] WU Bing-yi, SU Jing-zhi, ZHANG Ren-he. Effects of autumn-winter Arctic sea ice on winter Siberian High[J]. Chinese Science Bulletin, 2011, 56(27):2 335-2 343.
武炳义, 苏京志, 张人禾. 秋-冬季节北极海冰对冬季西伯利亚高压的影响[J]. 科学通报, 2011, 56(27):2 335-2 343.
[14] JAISER R, DETHLOFF K, HANDORF D, et al. Impact of sea ice cover changes on the Northern Hemisphere atmospheric winter circulation[J]. Tellus, 2012, 64:11595.
[15] LIU Ji-ping, CURRY J A, WANG Hui-jun, et al. Impact of declining Arctic sea ice on winter snowfall[J]. PNAS, 2012, 109: 4 074-4 079.
[16] TANG Qiu-hong, ZHANG Xue-bin, YANG Xiao-hua, et al. Cold winter extremes in northern continents linked to Arctic sea ice loss[J]. Environmental Research Letters, 2013, 8:014036.
[17] SERREZE M, HOLLAND M, STROEVE J. Perspectives on the Arctic's shrinking sea-ice cover[J]. Science, 2007, 315:1 533-1 536.
[18] STROEVE J, HOLLAND M, MEIER W, et al. Arctic sea ice decline: Faster than forecast[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2007, 34:L09501.
[19] COMISO J, PARKINSON C, GERSTEN R, et al. Accelerated decline in Arctic sea ice cover[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2008, 35:L01703.
[20] COMISO J. Large decadal decline of the Arctic multiyear ice cover[J]. Journal of Climate, 2012, 25:1 176-1 193.
[21] SCREEN J A, SIMMONDS I. The central role of diminishing sea ice in recent Arctic temperature amplification[J]. Nature, 2010, 464:1 334-1 337.
[22] KUMAR A, PERLWITZ J, EISCHEID J, et al. Contribution of sea ice loss to Arctic amplification[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2010, 37:L21701.
[23] WU Bing-yi, ZHANG Ren-he, et al. On the relationship between winter sea ice and summer atmospheric circulation over Eurasia[J]. Journal of Climate, 2013, 26:5 523-5 536.
[24] SCREEN J A, SIMMONDS I, DESER C, et al. The atmospheric response to three decades of observed Arctic sea ice loss[J]. Journal of Climate, 2013, 26:1 230-1 248.
[25] ALEXANDER M A, BHATT U S, WALSH J E, et al. The atmospheric response to realistic Arctic sea ice anomalies in an AGCM during winter[J]. Journal of Climate, 2004, 17:890-905.
[26] DESER C, MAGNUSDOTTIR G, SARAVANAN R, et al. The effects of North Atlantic SST and sea ice anomalies on the winter circulation in CCM3. Part II: Direct and indirect components of the response[J]. Journal of Climate, 2004, 17:877-889.
[27] MAGNUSDOTTIR G, DESER C, SARAVANAN R. The effects of North Atlantic SST and sea ice anomalies on the winter circulation in CCM3. Part I: Main features and storm track characteristics of the response[J]. Journal of Climate, 2004, 17:857-876.
[28] WALLACE J M. North Atlantic oscillation/annular mode: Two paradigms-one phenomenon[J]. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2000, 126:791-805.
[29] AMBAUM M H P, HOSKINS B J, STEPHENSON D B. Arctic Oscillation or North Atlantic Oscillation[J]? Journal of Climate, 2001, 14:3 495-3 507.
[30] ROGERS J C, MCHUGH M. On the separability of the North Atlantic Oscillation and Arctic Oscillation[J]. Climate Dynamics, 2002, 19:599-608.
[31] FELDSTEIN S, FRANZKE C. Are the North Atlantic Oscillation and the Northern Annular Mode distinguishable[J]? Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2006, 63:2 915-2 930.
[32] ZHAO Nan, WANG Qi-wei. A typical case for observation of the relationship between the Arctic Oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation[J]. Acta Meteorology Sinica, 2010, 68(6):847-854.
赵南,王启祎. 一个观察北极涛动与北大西洋涛动关系的典型个例[J]. 气象学报, 2010, 68(6):847-854.
[33] DESER C. On the teleconnectivity of the Arctic Oscillation[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2000, 27:779-782.
[34] ITOH H. True versus apparent Arctic Oscillation[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2002, 29:8.
[35] HUTH R. Pacific center of the Arctic Oscillation: Product of high local variability rather than teleconnectivity[J]. Tellus, 2006, 58A:601-604.
[36] ITOH H. Reconsideration of the true versus apparent Arctic Oscillation[J]. Journal of Climate, 2008, 21:2 047-2 062.
[37] KODERA K, KURODA Y. Regional and hemispheric circulation patterns in the northern hemisphere winter, or the NAO and the AO[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2003, 30:1 934.
[38] KODERA K, KURODA Y. Two teleconnection patterns involved in the North Atlantic/Arctic Oscillation[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2004, 31:L20201.
[39] AMBAUM M H P, HOSKINS B J. The NAO troposphere-stratosphere connection[J]. Journal of Climate, 2002, 15:1 969-1 978.
[40] ITOH H, HARADA K. Coupling between tropospheric and stratospheric leading modes[J]. Journal of Climate, 2004, 17:320-336.
[41] WANG J, IKEDA M. Arctic Oscillation and Arctic sea-ice Oscillation[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2000, 27:1 287-1 290.
[42] COMISO J C, 2017. Bootstrap Sea Ice Concentrations from Nimbus-7 SMMR and DMSP SSM/I-SSMIS, Version 3. [Indicate subset used]. Boulder, Colorado USA. NASA National Snow and Ice Data Center Distributed Active Archive Center. https://doi.org/10.5067/7Q8HCCWS4I0R.
[43] KANAMITSU M, EBISUZAKI W, WOOLLEN J, et al. NCEP-DOE AMIP-II Reanalysis R-2[J]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2002, 83:1 631-1 643.
[44] AN S-I, WANG B. The forced and intrinsic low-frequency modes in the North Pacific[J]. Journal of Climate, 2005, 18:876-885.
[45] HU Chun-di, WU Qi-gang, YANG Song, et al. A linkage observed between austral autumn Antarctic Oscillation and preceding Southern Ocean SST anomalies[J]. Journal of Climate, 2016, 29:2 109-2 122.
[46] CAYAN D R. Latent and sensible heat flux anomalies over the northern oceans: Driving the sea surface temperature[J]. Journal of Physical Ocean, 1992, 22:859-881.
[47] YU Li-san, JIN Xiang-ze, WELLER R A. Role of net surface heat flux in seasonal variations of sea surface temperature in the tropical Atlantic Ocean[J]. Journal of Climate, 2006, 19:6 153-6 169.
[48] YU Li-san, WELLER R A. Objectively analyzed air-sea heat fluxes for the global ice-free oceans (1981-2005)[J]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2007, 88:527-539.
[49] WU Bing-yi, HUANG Rong-hui. Effects of the extremes in the North Atlantic Oscillation on East Asia winter monsoon[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 1999, 23(6):641-651.
武炳义,黄荣辉.冬季北大西洋涛动极端异常变化与东亚冬季风[J].大气科学, 1999, 23(6):641-651.
[50] HAN Fang-hong, CHEN Hai-shan, MA He-di. Interdecadal variation in the relationship between North Atlantic Oscillation and extreme low temperature over Northern China in winter[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2018, 42(2):239-250.
韩方红, 陈海山, 马鹤翟. 冬季北大西洋涛动与中国北方极端低温相关性的年代际变化[J].大气科学, 2018, 42(2):239-250.
[51] LORENZ D J, HARTMANN D L. Eddy-zonal flow feedback in the Northern Hemisphere winter[J]. Journal of Climate, 2003, 16:1 212-1 227.
[52] LUO De-hai, GONG Ting-ting, DIAO Yi-na. Dynamics of eddy-driven low-frequency dipole modes. Part III: Meridional displacement of westerly jet anomalies during two phases of NAO[J]. Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2007, 64:3 232-3 248.
[53] YANG Song, LAU K-M, KIM K-M. Variations of the East Asian jet stream and Asian-Pacific-American winter climate anomalies[J]. Journal of Climate, 2002, 15:306-325.
Options
Outlines

/

〈 〉